Albert Pujols currently leads baseball in home runs and just hit the 499th and 500th dingers of his career on Tuesday night. So why sell one of the greatest hitters of the past decade? He is on a tear and looks like he is back to his former self.
Or does he?
Here's the thing. Sure Pujols's eight home runs seems like a sign that he has returned; however, his other numbers tell otherwise. His slugging percentage leads baseball, but his on-base percentage of .337 is only seven points higher than his career-worst .330 from last season. Also, a .274 batting average is not terrible, especially with these power numbers, but it is definitely not Pujols-esque.
Pujols's batting average has declined steadily each season since hitting .357 in 2008, and his power numbers have gone down each season since homering 47 times in 2009. Sure, he looks like he will end at least the power decline this season since he only homered seventeen times last year, but he only played in 99 games in 2013.
It is obviously not out of the realm of possibility that Pujols has a solid bounceback season, but do not expect his batting average to be too impressive and certainly do not expect him to keep raking at this torrid pace.
Due to Pujols's hot start and his reputation as one of the best players of a generation, he is the perfect candidate to sell while he's on. You can trick your opponents into believing that Prince Albert truly has returned to his old self and get quite the return.
If Pujols is on your team, you probably feel like a genius for drafting him so low and would be reluctant to give him to someone else. Yes, it may hurt right now to get rid of the man who has probably supplied most of the power for your fantasy team, but trading him will net you some great players in return and give you an opportunity to really improve your record in the long run.
It's a long season, and we're only a few weeks in. Pujols's name may be the biggest reason you could be hesitant to swap him, but the truth is that he is not the player he used to be, even if his numbers three weeks into the season seem to suggest otherwise.