Every year in fantasy baseball people reach for a player way too early. Whether it’s because they believe they will have a big year again, even though it’s only happened once for the player in their six-year career, or they are a obedient to the rankings.
Reaching for a player can cost you a chance at a championship. Don’t draft a guy simply because his name is the sexy pick especially in the early rounds. In the beginning of a draft, you must hit on your draft picks or your team is going to be in a world of hurt. Here is this year's list of overrated players by position.
Catcher: Devin Mesoraco, Cincinnati Reds
Mesoraco is being drafted in the in the ninth round, which may seem fair after the season he had last year. However, I believe that is significantly early. Before last season, Mesoraco never hit above .238 and in the second half of last season, he only hit nine of his 25 homeruns and batted .237. There’s a ton of risk involved with this catcher who has yet to prove he can hit for an entire season.
First Base: Victor Martinez, Detroit Tigers
Martinez had a monster year last season, but just had surgery for a torn meniscus in February. This could be a major concern for a player who has had knee troubles throughout his career. Martinez is going to be 36 this year and plays a position that is loaded with talent. To think that he will produce stats worthy of his fourth-fifth round selection is being highly optimistic.
Second Base: Dee Gordon, Miami Marlins
Gordon is a one-trick pony. He has an insane amount of speed, but last season's .289 average is likely an aberration. He has absolutely no power, so if he were to suffer some sort of injury that he plays through but drains his speed, he loses his one asset. If you don’t land a top-tier second baseman, you are better off going with a guy like Neil Walker, who is being drafted much later and is more well-rounded than Gordon.
Short Stop: Hanley Ramirez, Boston Red Sox
Ramirez isn’t even a shell of his former self from his days with the Marlins. He is a .280 hitter at this point and you are simply hoping he stays healthy long enough to hit 20 homeruns. There are much safer picks you can make in the third round than this extremely risky short stop.
Third Base: Kris Bryant, Seattle Mariners
Bryant is being drafted in the ninth round and he has yet to take his first at bat in the bigs. This is awfully high for a guy who is starting the season in the minor leagues and struck out in 33 percent of his at bats last season. The power is legit, but the batting average is going to be much lower than people are anticipating. If I’m taking a third baseman in the ninth round you are better off going with Pablo Sandoval, who is a proven commodity in this league.
Outfield: Bryce Harper, Washington Nationals
Once again Harper is being drafted in the third round of drafts. While I think he could be a force in the middle of a lineup. He has yet to display that potential. That is extremely high for a guy who played a career high 139 games his rookie season and has seen that number fall each season thereafter. Harper also set a career-high in home runs his rookie season with 22 and RBI's with just 59. Sure there is a ton of potential, but Harper can’t stay healthy and his career numbers certainly don’t scream third-round talent.
Pitcher: Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians
I’m not here to say Kluber is going to fall apart and completely regress this year, but drafting him in the third round is very risky. Before last year his career best ERA was 3.85 and he never showed this kind of potential during his time in the minors. Kluber has reliable secondary pitches to keep the strikeouts up, but he threw nearly 100 more innings than the previous season and greatly cut down the number of hits and homeruns he was allowing. I expect those two numbers to come back up closer to his career numbers. He should still be a fantasy asset by I expect fatigue to set in after throwing all those innings last season and for his numbers to normalize a little bit.