1. Russell Westbrook, Oklahoma City Thunder
Westbrook's assist numbers may decrease with Kevin Durant now on the Golden State Warriors, but his fantasy production should be through the roof. Last season saw Westbrook rank in the top three among point guards in points, assists, rebounds and steals.
He also attempted an average of four less shots than we saw during the 2014-15 season. Interestingly enough, that was the same season that saw Durant miss 55 games to injury. The No. 1 point guard last season, expect Westbrook to further the gap between himself and Stephen Curry in 2016-17. It's really not all too close.
2. Stephen Curry, Golden State Warriors
We're not too entirely sure how much Curry's scoring output will be impacted by the addition of Kevin Durant. He led the NBA in scoring last season, but Durant himself finished third. Durant did so with another score-first point guard in the mix in Oklahoma City (Westbrook).
What we do know is that Curry's assist numbers and the percentage of open shots he sees will go up. Outside of leading the league in scoring, Curry still finished sixth among point guards in assists, third in rebounds and first in steals. Don't expect much decline in those numbers this season. In fact, expect Curry to average closer to eight assists per game, which would place him in the top three or four among his position.
3. Damian Lillard, Portland Trail Blazers
We've decided to push Lillard ahead of Chris Paul, who is currently ranked third among points guards on most outlets. The primary reason for this is upside and an upward trajectory. Lillard has seen his scoring numbers and assist totals go up in each of the past three seasons, capping out at 25.1 and 6.8 respectively last season.
Though, Lillard's rebound and assist numbers kept him from being a truly elite option in the same category as a Westbrook and Curry last season. He ranked 11th among points guards in rebounds and seventh in assists. Minor increases in these two categories coupled with another stellar scoring season, and he'll separate himself from those behind him on this list.
4. Chris Paul, Los Angeles Clippers
With Blake Griffin dealing with injuries throughout the vast majority of the 2015-16 season, Paul had to step up. And that's exactly what he did. The nine-time All-Star averaged 19.5 points, over four rebounds and 10 assists per game. He also finished in the top five in steals at 2.1 per game. Though, Paul's statistical improvement wasn't exactly that tremendous considering he had to pick up the slack for Griffin. Really, they were minor increases. After all, he averaged 19.1 points and 10.2 assists during the 2014-15 season.
That's the crux of the issue here. With Griffin now at 100 percent, can we expect Paul to put up the same numbers we saw last season? This seems highly unlikely. It's also why his ceiling isn't anywhere near the level of a Damian Lillard.
5. John Wall, Washington Wizards
Wall did have the best statistical season of his career last year, tallying 19.9 points, 4.9 rebounds and 10.2 assists per game. However, his shooting numbers, from most aspects, took a dip from the 2014-15 season. Wall shot just just 42 percent from the field, including a substandard 45 percent mark from two-point range. A tremendous increase from 30 percent to 35 percent from three-point range is what made the difference here.
Should Wall continue to improve from distance, his place in the top five is assured here. And the fact that he's stayed relatively healthy in each of the past three seasons should be seen as a boon for those buying stock in the All-Star.
6. Kyrie Irving, Cleveland Cavaliers
It took Irving a bit to get back into the mix after the serious knee injury he suffered during the 2015 NBA Finals. But once he did, the former No. 1 pick was back to dominating. He averaged nearly 20 points per game and shot 45 percent from the field.
Unfortunately, it's in the other numbers that Irving failed to keep up with other point guards. He averaged just three rebounds and 4.7 assists per game, both ranking outside of the top 20 at his position. If that doesn't change, he's never going to be mentioned among the top fantasy players at his position.
7. Rajon Rondo, Chicago Bulls
Despite leading the NBA with 11.7 assists per game, Rondo still only finished ninth among point guards in fantasy points. It's rather simple, as he didn't provide much of anything from a scoring standpoint, averaging less than 12 points per game. With that said, a six rebound per outing total coupled with two steals per game made him an incredible DFS play.
Now, set to play his first season with the Bulls, Rondo is in a prime position to increase his numbers across the board. Simply put, the level of competition in the Eastern Conference isn't up to snuff compared to what he saw last year in the Pacifiic Division. That will surely make an impact.
8. Kemba Walker, Charlotte Hornets
Walker had himself a little coming out party in 2015-16, increasing his numbers across the board from the previous season. He averaged 20-plus points for the first time, recorded 4.4 rebounds and dished out 5.5 assists per outing. Also important to note, Walker shot a career best 43 percent from the field, including 37 percent from three-point range. Expect similar, if not better, production in 2016-17.
9. Isaiah Thomas, Boston Celtics
In the past, it's been all about scoring for Thomas. Though, he changed that a great deal this past season. Thomas still averaged a career-best 22.2 points per game, but he also dished out a personal best 6.2 assists per outing. This put him right on the cusp of being considered a top-five fantasy point guard. One has to wonder if Thomas' scoring numbers will go down with Al Horford now in the mix, but that should also increase his assist output. Definitely a top-10 fantasy point guard here.
10. Goran Dragic, Miami Heat
Dragic will definitely be asked to take on a larger scoring role with Dwyane Wade now in Chicago. That's both good and bad news. Does he have the capability of doing this and will it impact all of his other numbers? What we do know is that Dragic is a lethal mid-range shooter. He shot 53 percent from inside the three-point range a season ago. Give him an increase of five shots or so per game, and 18-plus points to go with five-plus rebounds and five-plus assists isn't out of the question.