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2013 NFL Mock Draft: Round 1

2013 NFL Mock Draft: Round 1
By Nick Slegel on January 30, 2013

My initial mock draft for this year was a big undertaking.  After watching hours of tape, reading countless scouting reports and evaluating the Senior Bowl, I finally sat down to construct a big board and begin to fill in my draft.  The problem I ran into was this: whomever the Kansas City Chiefs select with the No. 1 overall pick will directly affect the subsequent picks made in the first two rounds.  Plus, I’m not completely sold that the Chiefs or Arizona Cardinals will need to draft a quarterback.  Their new regimes could decide to give the current quarterbacks a try or make a trade for someone like Alex Smith, Matt Flynn or Michael Vick

So, what I ended up with was three separate round one mock drafts, based on the Chiefs selecting a quarterback, offensive lineman or a defensive player with the first overall pick.  Let’s get to it!

Note: * indicates an underclassman

 

Scenario One

This is the version in which the Chiefs and Cardinals both select a quarterback with their first pick.

1.  Kansas City Chiefs:  Geno Smith, Quarterback, West Virginia
15 years ago when Andy Reid last took over the head coaching gig of a team; he drafted his future franchise quarterback (Donovan McNabb) and things turned out pretty well for the two of them.  Geno Smith is by far the best available quarterback this time around, and under Reid’s tutelage, he could turn out to be the franchise quarterback Kansas City desperately needs. 

2.  Jacksonville Jaguars:  Jarvis Jones*, Linebacker/Defensive End, Georgia
In my opinion, Jones is the best underclassman available in this years draft, and one could argue he’s the best defensive player available period.  Jacksonville had abysmal output from the defensive end and linebacker positions in 2012 and first-year head coach Gus Bradley will look to address that immediately. 

3.  Oakland Raiders:  Star Lotulelei, Defensive Tackle, Utah
The Raiders have needs at so many positions, their best bet here is to go with the “best player available” philosophy; which in this case will work out quite well for Oakland as they need help on the defensive line and Lotulelei is considered, by many, as the best player available in this year’s draft. 

4.  Philadelphia Eagles:  Luke Joeckel, Offensive Tackle, Texas A&M
New head coach Chip Kelly is likely to bring his fast-paced spread offense to the Eagles this season and he’ll need young, talented and physical offensive lineman to keep the ship running smoothly.  Joeckel is clearly the best offensive lineman available, fits the bill perfectly and played in a similar scheme this season at Texas A&M while protecting Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel. 

5.  Detroit Lions:  Dee Milliner*, Cornerback, Alabama
The Lions have a lot of talented pieces on defense, but are severely lacking in the secondary.  Milliner is the best corner available and has the speed, physicality and instincts to start opposite Chris Houston next season and go toe-to-toe with the NFC North’s best receivers. 

6.  Cleveland Browns:  Dion Jordan, Defensive End, Oregon
While many people believe first-year head coach Rob Chudzinski may look to go offensive with the No. 6 overall pick; I believe the lack of top-five quality offensive players available will lead the Browns to address one of the many needs on the defensive side of the ball.  Jordan’s big frame, long arms, high motor and ability in coverage will make him a valuable asset to the Cleveland’s severely lacking defense. 

7.  Arizona Cardinals:  Tyler Wilson, Quarterback, Arkansas
Wilson solidified his position as the second-best available quarterback with his Senior Bowl performance.  He has good arm strength, accuracy (at times) and instincts, but will need to address his questionable footwork to make it at the next level.  Arizona’s new general manager Steve Keim may look at what new head coach Bruce Arians did with rookie quarterback Andrew Luck last season and select Wilson hoping for a repeat by Arians. 

8.  Buffalo Bills:  Matt Barkley, Quarterback, USC
Much like Geno Smith, Barkley improved his draft stock greatly by simply not participating in the Senior Bowl.  While this is a complete reach in my opinion, The Bills and their new head coach Doug Marrone will likely look to move on from Ryan Fitzpatrick and start fresh with a rookie quarterback.

9.  New York Jets:  Barkevious Mingo*, Defensive End, LSU
Mingo is a tall, speedy and talented outside pass rusher with the ability to drop back and play linebacker at times.  While not the greatest against the run, he’s at his best when blitzing the quarterback.  Defensive-minded head coach Rex Ryan will likely see the value here and look to add an instant starter to the Jets’ floundering defense. 

10.  Tennessee Titans: Chance Warmack, Offensive Guard, Alabama
The Titans need help all over the field.  Warmack gives them instant help on a terrible offensive line.  He should plug into either guard spot easily and provide an instant upgrade in protection for Jake Locker and blocking downfield for electric running back Chris Johnson

11.  San Diego Chargers:  Eric Fisher, Offensive Tackle, Central Michigan
The Chargers could go for a receiver here, but that wouldn’t do them much good if they still had an awful offensive line.  Fisher is a big physical blocker that does equally well against pass rush and run blocking.  He will open up plays for Ryan Mathews and allow Philip Rivers time to hit Robert Meachem and Antonio Gates down the field. 

12.  Miami Dolphins:  Keenan Allen*, Wide Receiver, California
Ryan Tannehill desperately needs a big, physical target to throw downfield or across the middle to.  The 6’3” Allen has the size, hands and awareness to bring the ball in from anywhere on the field and despite lacking top-end speed; he can still beat corners one-on-one with his physical play. 

13.  Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  Johnthan Banks, Cornerback, Mississippi State
The Buccaneers are really hurting for corners after trading Aqib Talib and Ronde Barber likely to finally call it quits.  Banks is a big, smart player that can play corner, safety and return punts.  He’s at his best playing physical man-coverage and is also very good against the run. 

14.  Carolina Panthers:  Sheldon Richardson*, Defensive Tackle, Missouri
Richardson is a big, disruptive force in the middle.  He has an explosive first step that gets him into the backfield quickly; making him a constant threat in the pass rush and he’s often capable of single-handedly shutting down the run game between the hashes.  Some will argue that the Panthers need to add a receiver, but you can’t pass up on talent like Richardson if he’s still available at 14.   

15.  New Orleans Saints:  Damontre Moore*, Defensive End, Texas A&M
Moore is a talented edge pass rusher who has deceptive speed and can close on the ball carrier quickly.  With long arms and a good eye for the ball, he could easily develop into a pass-swatting machine, a kin to J.J. Watt.  The Saints were near the bottom of the league in defense (as usual) and desperately need a young playmaker on that side of the ball.

16.  St. Louis Rams:  Johnathan hankins*, Defensive Tackle, Ohio State
With two first-round picks this year (thanks to last year’s trade that landed the Washington Redskins Robert Griffin III) and needs on both side of the ball; the Rams have the luxury of selecting the best play available that fills a need.  Hankins is a big, lane-clogging tackle that can take up double teams and stop the run up the middle; something St. Louis had a hard time with last season. 

17.  Pittsburgh Steelers:  John Jenkins, Defensive Tackle, Georgia
The Steelers need help along the defensive line, and you can’t really go wrong with Jenkins.  He’s a big force in the middle who will constantly require double teams, thus freeing up edge rushers.  He also has the ability to occasionally break through the line and can push the line to cause the pocket to collapse. 

18.  Dallas Cowboys:  Jonathan Cooper, Offensive Guard, North Carolina
The Cowboys and quarterback Tony Romo could really use some security along the offensive line, and Cooper provides just that.  He’s a complete guard that can line up on either side of the center, pulls extremely well and can move up field quickly.  He will give Romo more time in the pocket and open up bigger running lanes for DeMarco Murray

19.  New York Giants:  Bjoern Werner*, Defensive End, Florida State
Besides super star Jason Pierre-Paul, the rest of the Giants’ line, especially at defensive end; is getting up there in age.  Werner is a tall, physical pass rusher with A-plus level awareness.  He does a great job of swatting passes and disrupting passing lanes.  A tandem of Pierre-Paul and Werner could cause serious problems for offensive lines and quarterbacks for years to come. 

20.  Chicago Bears:  Tyler Eifert*, Tight End, Notre Dame
This is a pretty easy one to figure out: Jay Cutler needs more targets and the Bears need a talented, vertical-threat at tight end.  Eifert provides just that: He’s a big, fast receiver with superb route running skills and great hands.  He will do a great job of stretching the field and catching the ball across the middle.  He also does a decent job of run blocking. 

21.  Cincinnati Bengals:  Alec Ogletree*, Linebacker, Georgia
The Bengals linebacker corp under performed all season and could use an infusion of talent.  Linebacker isn't Cincinnati's biggest need this year, but with no players still available at this point that match the more pressing needs, Ogletree is a great pick here.  He's a bit raw and can be a bit slow on the uptake at times, but Ogletree is my number-one middle linebacker this year: with speed to cover the field sideline to sideline and top-notch pursuit and tackling skills.  He's also a beast on the 3rd down and great in both the pass rush and run stopping.  

22.  St. Louis Rams (via Washington Redskins):  D.J. Fluker*, Offensive Tackle, Alabama
Having addressed one of their defensive needs earlier, the Rams can now focus their attention on protecting quarterback Sam Bradford.  Fluker is a big, physical mauler-type tackle that will do a great job in the running game and protecting Bradford’s weakside. 

23.  Minnesota Vikings:  Tavon Austin, Wide Receiver, West Virginia
With Percy Harvin constantly injured and looking for his way out of Minnesota ,the Vikings need to replace his speed, athleticism and playmaking ability.  The tiny and speedy Austin can do just that for them.  While a little smaller than Harvin; he can return kicks and punts, line up in the slot and take handoffs just as effectively as Harvin.  If Minnesota can retain a healthy Harvin next season, this could blossom into a big playmaking due on offense for the Vikings. 

24.  Indianapolis Colts:  Ezekiel Ansah, Defensive End, BYU
Running a 3-4 scheme on defense, the Colts desperately need an elite pass rusher on the outside.  Ansah is raw, but in my opinion has the highest upside in this year’s draft.  With good coaching and more playing time he could be unstoppable.  Ansah has an amazing combination of size, strength and speed that will make it extremely difficult to keep him out of the backfield. 

25.  Seattle Seahawks:  Cordarrelle Patterson*, Wide Receiver, Tennessee
The Seahawks could use some help on the defensive line, but they can’t afford to ignore their glaring need for another receiver.  Patterson is tall and strong with great hands.  He will beat defenders in one-on-one coverage regularly, as well as come down with jump balls. 

26.  Green Bay Packers:  Datone Jones, Defensive End, UCLA
There is absolutely no question the Packers need more help on the defensive line, and Jones can definitely come in and help right away.  He played amazingly well at the Senior Bowl with three tackles and a sack and burst onto the scene this year with second team All-Pac12 honors.  Jones is tall and speedy and if he could add some bulk to his frame, he’ll have a better chance on the inside.  He has good awareness and will use his long arms and big hands to disrupt passing lanes. 

27.  Houston Texans:  Terrance Williams, Wide Receiver, Baylor
The Texans desperately need a second receiver on offense, and Williams has a good combination of size, speed and separation skills to be a good third option for Matt Schaub.  He needs some work polishing his route-running skills and hands, but he will really benefit from working with and learning from veteran Andre Johnson

28.  Denver Broncos:  Xavier Rhodes*, Cornerback, Florida State
Champ Bailey is seriously old at this point, and he can’t play at such a high level forever.  Rhodes is a tall, physical corner that can start immediately.  He plays great bump-and-run man coverage, has above average tackling skills and does a phenomenal job of closing on ball carriers quickly. 

29.  New England Patriots:  DeAndre Hopkins*, Wide Receiver, Clemson
Wes Welker’s future with the team is constantly in question and Tom Brady could use another reliable target.  Hopkins isn’t going to blow defenders away with his top-end speed, but his great route running and above-average hands give him the ability to beat defenders in one-on-one coverage. 

30.  Atlanta Falcons:  Zach Ertz*, Tight End, Stanford
The Falcons need help on the defensive line, but with Tony Gonzalez almost certainly permanently retired, they’ll need to replace his output on offense, badly.  Ertz has an explosive first step, good hands, above-average speed and top-notch route running skills.  He won’t be much help in the running game, but he’s a big playmaker downfield and should help Atlanta make a smooth transition from Gonzalez. 

31.  Baltimore Ravens:  Kevin Minter*, Linebacker, LSU
Win or lose, on Sunday Ray Lewis will play his final game for the Ravens.  Minter shows great awareness for finding the ball and closing extremely quickly.  He’s quick and has a great head for the game.  He’ll fit perfectly in Baltimore’s scheme and will help ease the loss of Lewis. 

32.  San Francisco 49ers:  Desmond Trufant, Cornerback, Washington
Trufant isn’t the biggest corner available, but he has great speed, cover skills and hands.  Trufant shows a great instinct for where the ball is going to be and is great in the run game.  San Francisco clearly needs help in the secondary and Trufant could come in and start immediately. 

 

Scenario Two
This is the version in which the Chiefs and Cardinals decide to stay with their current quarterback, or acquire one via trade and look to fill other needs in the first round; specifically with the Chiefs selecting an offensive lineman first. 

1.  Kansas City Chiefs:  Luke Joeckel, Offensive Tackle, Texas A&M

2.  Jacksonville Jaguars:  Jarvis Jones*, Linebacker/Defensive End, Georgia

3.  Oakland Raiders:  Star Lotulelei, Defensive Tackle, Utah

4.  Philadelphia Eagles:  Dee Milliner*, Cornerback, Alabama 

5.  Detroit Lions:  Barkevious Mingo*, Defensive End, LSU

6.  Cleveland Browns:  Dion Jordan, Defensive End, Oregon

7.  Arizona Cardinals:  Chance Warmack, Offensive Guard, Alabama

8.  Buffalo Bills:  Geno Smith, Quarterback, West Virginia

9.  New York Jets:  Tyler Wilson, Quarterback, Arkansas

10.  Tennessee Titans:  Damontre Moore*, Defensive End, Texas A&M

11.  San Diego Chargers:  Eric Fisher, Offensive Tackle, Central Michigan

12.  Miami Dolphins:  Keenan Allen*, Wide Receiver, California

13.  Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  Johnthan Banks, Cornerback, Mississippi State

14.  Carolina Panthers:  Sheldon Richardson*, Defensive Tackle, Missouri

15.  New Orleans Saints:  Bjoern Werner*, Defensive End, Florida State

16.  St. Louis Rams:  Johnathan hankins*, Defensive Tackle, Ohio State

17.  Pittsburgh Steelers:  John Jenkins, Defensive Tackle, Georgia

18.  Dallas Cowboys:  Jonathan Cooper, Offensive Guard, North Carolina

19.  New York Giants:  Ezekiel Ansah, Defensive End, BYU

20.  Chicago Bears:  Tyler Eifert*, Tight End, Notre Dame

21.  Cincinnati Bengals:  Alec Ogletree*, Linebacker, Georgia

22.  St. Louis Rams (via Washington Redskins):  D.J. Fluker*, Offensive Tackle, Alabama

23.  Minnesota Vikings:  Tavon Austin, Wide Receiver, West Virginia

24.  Indianapolis Colts:  Alex Okafor, Defensive End, Texas

25.  Seattle Seahawks:  Cordarrelle Patterson*, Wide Receiver, Tennessee

26.  Green Bay Packers:  Datone Jones, Defensive End, UCLA

27.  Houston Texans:  Terrance Williams, Wide Receiver, Baylor

28.  Denver Broncos:  Xavier Rhodes*, Cornerback, Florida State

29.  New England Patriots:  DeAndre Hopkins*, Wide Receiver, Clemson

30.  Atlanta Falcons:  Zack Ertz*, Tight End, Stanford

31.  Baltimore Ravens:  Kevin Minter*, Linebacker, LSU

32.  San Francisco 49ers:  Desmond Trufant, Cornerback, Washington

 


Scenario Three
This is the version in which the Chiefs and Cardinals decide to stay with their current quarterback, or acquire one via trade and look to fill other needs in the first round; specifically with the Chiefs selecting a defensive player first.  This one only differs slightly from the previous scenario. 

1.  Kansas City Chiefs:  Star Lotulelei, Defensive Tackle, Utah

2.  Jacksonville Jaguars:  Jarvis Jones*, Linebacker/Defensive End, Georgia

3.  Oakland Raiders:  Dee Milliner*, Cornerback, Alabama

4.  Philadelphia Eagles:  Luke Joeckel, Offensive Tackle, Texas A&M

5.  Detroit Lions:  Barkevious Mingo*, Defensive End, LSU

6.  Cleveland Browns:  Dion Jordan, Defensive End, Oregon

7.  Arizona Cardinals:  Chance Warmack, Offensive Guard, Alabama

8.  Buffalo Bills:  Geno Smith, Quarterback, West Virginia

9.  New York Jets:  Tyler Wilson, Quarterback, Arkansas

10.  Tennessee Titans:  Damontre Moore*, Defensive End, Texas A&M

11.  San Diego Chargers:  Eric Fisher, Offensive Tackle, Central Michigan

12.  Miami Dolphins:  Keenan Allen*, Wide Receiver, California

13.  Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  Johnthan Banks, Cornerback, Mississippi State

14.  Carolina Panthers:  Sheldon Richardson*, Defensive Tackle, Missouri

15.  New Orleans Saints:  Bjoern Werner*, Defensive End, Florida State

16.  St. Louis Rams:  Johnathan hankins*, Defensive Tackle, Ohio State

17.  Pittsburgh Steelers:  John Jenkins, Defensive Tackle, Georgia

18.  Dallas Cowboys:  Jonathan Cooper, Offensive Guard, North Carolina

19.  New York Giants:  Ezekiel Ansah, Defensive End, BYU

20.  Chicago Bears:  Tyler Eifert*, Tight End, Notre Dame

21.  Cincinnati Bengals:  Alec Ogletree*, Linebacker, Georgia

22.  St. Louis Rams (via Washington Redskins):  D.J. Fluker*, Offensive Tackle, Alabama

23.  Minnesota Vikings:  Tavon Austin, Wide Receiver, West Virginia

24.  Indianapolis Colts:  Alex Okafor, Defensive End, Texas

25.  Seattle Seahawks:  Cordarrelle Patterson*, Wide Receiver, Tennessee

26.  Green Bay Packers:  Datone Jones, Defensive End, UCLA

27.  Houston Texans:  Terrance Williams, Wide Receiver, Baylor

28.  Denver Broncos:  Xavier Rhodes*, Cornerback, Florida State

29.  New England Patriots:  DeAndre Hopkins*, Wide Receiver, Clemson

30.  Atlanta Falcons:  Zack Ertz*, Tight End, Stanford

31.  Baltimore Ravens:  Kevin Minter*, Linebacker, LSU

32.  San Francisco 49ers:  Desmond Trufant, Cornerback, Washington

 

Nick Slegel

Nick Slegel

Favorite Quote:
"I firmly believe that any man's finest hour, the greatest fulfillment of all that he holds dear, is that moment when he has worked his heart out in a good cause and lies exhausted on the field of battle - victorious." - Vince Lombardi
Favorite Athlete:
Prince Fielder
Favorite Movie:
Field of Dreams
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