We are back again this week as we dive deep into the Twitter mailbag to find some NFL Draft questions. Last week we focused a lot on the defensive side of the ball, but now we take a look at the 2014-quarterback class. While plenty of attention is turned to Teddy Bridgewater and Johnny Manziel, there are even more intriguing names. If you have a question you would like answered in next week’s mailbag be sure to send it to me on Twitter @ThreefortheWin.
@DMoneyMusgrave: Which quarterback do you think has helped his draft stock the most this year? How greatly do you think his stock has improved?
The quarterback who has helped his draft stock the most this year is LSU Tigers quarterback Zach Mettenberger. Seen as a late-round prospect last year, Mettenberger has taken huge strides and now has become a very intriguing prospect for NFL teams and likely a day-two pick.
We have seen this year that Mettenberger has already taken advantage of new offensive coordinator Cam Cameron and really turned into a better quarterback. He looks more comfortable in the pocket than last year, making slight movements to avoid the sack so he can have a little extra time to look down the field. He isn’t a great athlete but he has made progress moving around the pocket, which will be a big thing for him in the NFL. We always knew Mettenberger had the arm strength to be a good quarterback but until now his accuracy, decision-making and pocket presence have really held him back. Last year he had just 12 touchdowns passes and seven interceptions the entire season, now already through four games he has thrown 10 touchdowns to just one interception. Some credit obviously has to go to Cameron for helping Mettenberger, but it’s become clear how much work Mettenberger has put in to become a better quarterback. There is definitely some room to grow for him, but you have to love the strides he has made this season and it absolutely has helped his draft stock.
@CDonFootball: Who would fit better in an offense much different than their current offense between Marcus Mariota and Teddy Bridgewater?
Bridgewater and Mariota are my two top quarterback prospects in the 2014 NFL Draft and easily could end up as the first and second pick. While both players have a high potential, it’s pretty clear which quarterback is the easiest fit in any offense.
While Mariota has been incredible this year for the Oregon Ducks and is considered a dream selection for Chip Kelly and the Philadelphia Eagles next year, there is a reason for that. Mariota plays in an Oregon offense that uses short, quick passes and is filled with fast receivers and running backs that can make plays. Mariota has incredible speed and can make big plays with his feet, but also offers sharp accuracy on short and medium throws. But he still is a work in progress as a pocket passer, and if put in an offense to throw down field often he will struggle. While he could fit perfectly in Chip Kelly’s offense or even replace Jake Locker in Tennessee, he would struggle in Arizona under Bruce Arians’ air-it-out attack. I’m a big believer in Mariota and he will be a star at the next level but you have to put him in an offense that fits his skill-set.
Bridgewater is the type of quarterback that older coaches and scouts will love. His mindset is all about passing the football, even though he has speed he will choose to pass the football instead of running it 99 times out of 100. He has everything you could ask for in a quarterback; arm strength, excellent touch, great decision-making, mobility and he is great in the pocket. He is asked to sit in the pocket at Louisville and just guide the offense down the field. He can attack you deep down the sidelines or he can use the middle of the field to move the chains. He can make every throw a coach would ask him to and he has the ability to roll out of the pocket and throw on the run. While we haven’t seen it much in his career he does have nice speed and can run the ball on a read-option play. Even in a faster offense, coaches will love his ability to put the ball right where only his receiver can get in on deep or short throws. His ability to be a franchise quarterback in any offense is one of the many reasons why he will be the first pick in May.
@ConnorSchumock: What mid or late-round grade quarterback do you think has the highest potential?
It’s tough to gauge the mid-round quarterback prospects, some guys will have a prospect as a mid-round prospect while others might see him as a fringe first-round selection. But for me there are two second day quarterbacks who stand out as high-ceiling prospects.
Everyone loves to keep an eye out for small-school prospects and it is a quarterback that stands out for me as a name to watch out for. Cornell quarterback Jeff Matthews may play for an Ivy League school, but there is no questioning his arm strength and decision-making. Matthews has been tearing up his Ivy League opponents on a weekly basis just throwing balls all over the fielding and picking the defense apart. He is a very intelligent player who knows how to read the defense then make adjustments so he can perfectly attack them. He delivers the ball on time and quickly, and really has a lot of the tools scouts look for in an NFL quarterback. The biggest issue holding him back though is the inferior competition he is playing against. It’s rare for an Ivy-League quarterback to find success in the NFL, because generally they just took advantage of weak opponents. But Matthews has shown all of the tools you look for in a starting quarterback and could be a great find on draft day.
The other quarterback I am still really intrigued by is Ohio State’s Kenny Guiton. Braxton Miller has been the star of the Buckeye’s team and before the year was an intriguing NFL prospect. But after he went down against San Diego State, Guiton has been incredible since taking over. Guiton wasn’t playing against to-level teams with blowout wins against San Diego State, California and Florida A&M but he has still been very impressive. The senior quarterback clearly has the talent but made the decision to stay at Ohio State backing up Miller. While Miller should be back this week and we only saw a small sample size of games from Guiton, there is a reason for excitement. Everyone will obviously point to the numbers and the records that Guiton has set. He broke the Ohio State record for touchdown passes in a game with six, a record he broke in a single half against Florida A&M. Guiton has been so impressive that even when Miller is healthy and starting, coach Urban Meyer has said he still plans to get Guiton snaps during games.
Guiton offers very nice size for an NFL quarterback at 6’3” 208 pounds. He is a very good athlete who can break outside of the pocket and scramble for some big plays, just like he did against San Diego State on a 44-yard run. But he also has a strong arm and has shown nice touch on his passes. He showed multiple times against Cal when his receiver is going deep he can hit his man in stride or right between the numbers to make the big play. He is a senior and really has become a student of the game and that has shown so far this year. Because he hasn’t played a lot until this year, teams won’t likely invest a high draft pick on him. But Guiton very likely will hear his name called during day two or three and will have a chance to work his way up the depth chart and become a starting NFL quarterback.
@ryanwittman0: How would you rank the Mountain West quarterbacks?
1. Derek Carr Quarterback, Fresno State Bulldogs
I talked about Carr earlier this week in my Risers and Fallers article. He has been very impressive this year despite playing in an offense that suits him poorly. Carr has a big arm and nice mobility but is forced to make short, quick throws with Fresno State’s system. A few times a game we will get to see him throw it deep down the field, but it just isn’t often enough. He is putting up stellar numbers this season and pushing his way up the quarterback rankings. He is the best quarterback prospect in the Mountain West Conference and is looking like an early second round pick.
2. Brett Smith Quarterback, Wyoming Cowboys
While all of the attention is focused on Mariota and Texas A&M’s Johnny Manziel, there is another NFL quarterback prospect out there who has earned the right to be talked about and discussed. While Smith may play for Wyoming, he could turn into one of the best quarterbacks from this class down the line. Smith can move around in the pocket and run all over the field just like Manziel and Mariota. He is the focus of the Cowboys’ offense and despite the weaker talent that surrounds him, he steps up and makes his teammates better. He will take criticism because he plays in an offense where he can sit back in the shotgun and just create havoc for a defense picking apart their secondary with four receivers on the field and playing against a weak secondary, but he makes his throws on time. He puts great touch on the ball and that includes on the run when he is rolling out of the pocket giving time for his receiver to get open. He can put the ball in his receiver’s hands right in stride as they streak down the field for the big play as well. Smith still has to make more plays standing in the pocket and he isn’t playing an NFL-style offense. But the ability is there and in two years he could be a starting quarterback in the NFL.
3. Chuckie Keeton Quarterback, Utah State Aggies
When deciding between Fales and Keeton, the decision came pretty clear to me. While Fales may have more of a clear picture thanks to a strong 2012 season, he has been dropping off while Keeton has slowly started to rise. He is more of a project than Fales but with work, he can be a far better quarterback at the next level. Keeton still has a lot of room to grow as a quarterback, but there is no questioning his athletic ability. Keeton can take off and sprint down the field and make some big plays with his legs. But as a quarterback he still has a lot to work on, including how he plays in the pocket. He needs to learn how to stay inside and not immediately try and break a run when he has a little pressure. He can be inconsistent from one week to the next but when he is on his game, he can complete any throw you could ask of him. He needs to become a more consistent quarterback with how he senses pressure and his delivery, but he is one of the more intriguing prospects in this draft.
4. David Fales Quarterback, San Jose State Spartans
The decision to put Fales behind Keeton comes down to potential and what player has the highest ceiling at the next level. Fales has struggled at times this season with his accuracy and the number is telling. In 2012 Fales completed 72.5 percent of his passes but three games into the 2013 season he has completed just 60.9 percent of his throws. Accuracy was one of the biggest positives from Fales game last year, but he just hasn’t been the same quarterback early this season. He still struggles with the deep ball and even on short throws, his yards per completion average has dropped more than a point this season. We saw him have a good first half against Minnesota but that didn’t carry over into the second half. It has been a bad start to the 2013 season for Fales and has pushed him down the list of Mountain West quarterbacks.