There's always some concern over relying on rookies in re-draft contests. It's something we see every year. Top-end prospects are overvalued early on, at which point it's proven that the learning curve from college ball to the NFL is significant.
Though, most of these concerns have proven to be unwarranted when it comes to the running back position. Just last year, we saw Rams running back Todd Gurley finish as the seventh-best player at his position despite missing three games early in the season to injury.
With an ADP that currently finds himself as the fifth running back off the board at the end of the first round (in 12-team leagues), Dallas Cowboys rookie Ezekiel Elliott doesn't seem to be facing the same rookie scorn we see from other first-year players at different positions.
And for good reason.
Not only is Elliott, the fourth-pick in this year's NFL draft, coming off a ridiculous career at Ohio State, he's joining a Cowboys team that boasts the best run-blocking offensive line in the NFL. The team averaged 4.6 yards per rush while ranking in the top 10 on the ground with Darren McFadden and Joseph Randle sharing the duties a season ago. This came on the heels of Dallas racking up the same YPC average while ranking second in rushing in 2014.
With the most-talented running back the team has seen since Emmitt Smith was in his prime, the Cowboys are destined to continue this dominating ground assault moving forward. If a recent report from the team's official website is any indication, Elliott will be the prime mover-and-shaker in said attack.
"Fortunately, the Cowboys have vastly superior depth at the position this year," the report read. "I think Zeke will finish with roughly 280-300 carries, which would put him right around 18-20 per game. That should leave plenty of carries for Morris and McFadden to get involved."
With McFadden suffering a broken elbow earlier this month, the expectation is that Elliott will hit the ground running (literally). If so, that 18-20 carry average for the rookie wouldn't be too surprising.
And based on the Cowboys success running the ball over the past two seasons, something to the tune of 1,500 rushing yards shouldn't be considered a dramatic reach at this point. That would definitely put him in the elite group with Le'Veon Bell, Adrian Peterson and the aforementioned Gurley.