DraftKings Fantasy Football Week 13: Building an Optimal Lineup

By Matt Johnson on Friday, December 1st 2017
DraftKings Fantasy Football Week 13: Building an Optimal Lineup

The NFL season is nearing a close with 12 weeks now in the books. it leaves some feelings of sadness with our favorite sport coming to an end, but we'll take advantage of the remaining weeks. There are plenty of great opportunities on DraftKings to be a part of this week from cash games to GPP. Lineup strategies are obviously different for each contest, here we'll put together our optimal cash game lineup.

Let's get started with our lineup for Week 13 so we can cash in.

Quarterback:

Brett Hundley, GB v. TB, ($5,100)

We saw more consistent flashes of strong play from Hundley last week against an excellent Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh struggled to cover Davante Adams, who is Hundley's highly preferred option, and allowed Hundley time to throw and couldn't rattle him with consistent pressure. Those are obviously two key factors that allowed Hundley to perform well and another performance like that could come if the right matchup came along.

In terms of matchup, you couldn't ask for much better than this. The Tamp Bay Buccaneers is top-10 in points allowed over the last four weeks to opposing quarterbacks and that number would be even higher if Matt Ryan threw the touchdown pass to Julio Jones rather than wide receiver Mohamed Sanu. The secondary is also dealing with injuries, which further opens the door for the likes of Davante Adams and Randall Cobb to get open.

Running Back

Jamaal Williams, GB v. TB, ($4,700)

This is dependent on the status of running back Aaron Jones, who is questionable to play on Sunday but it still feels like the team's game-time decision will result in him being inactive. If that's the case, Williams needs to be in a heavy percentage of DraftKings lineups. The heavy workload immediately puts him on the fantasy radar because volume offers the best chance for fantasy success and when Green Bay is willing to put the ball in his hands 18-plus times a game, especially in a matchup like this, he jumps into the top-15 running back ranks.

This season, the Bucs find themselves struggling pretty often against the running game. They've allowed the fourth-most rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs (nine) and can also be exploited in the passing game with 57 receptions for 483 receiving yards and two touchdowns. In the event Jones and Montgomery miss Sunday's game, Williams' workload in the running and passing game make him an excellent play.

Carlos Hyde, SF @ CHI, ($5,900)

THe move from C.J. Beathard to Jimmy Garoppolo certainly provides more optimism for the fantasy stock of San Francisco's offense and Hyde. While some look at the negatives, specifically the probability of Hyde's high volume as a pass-catching back falling from 9-12 targets per game down to six targets per game. It's a fair concern and likely will happen, but there are even more reasons to be optimistic.

First, the upgrade at quarterback should help this offense increase its scoring opportunities and ability to get inside the red zone. As a result, Hyde should see some positive regression given he leads the NFL in ESPN's Mike Clay's unluckiest touchdowns totals. A return to norms would further boost Hyde's fantasy stock as fantasy players know how impactful that six-point boost should be. Meanwhile, Hyde should still see six targets per game most weeks and passes will be more accurate than when Beathard started. It's a quality matchup for Hyde and given the weight he carries in this offense, he is a great PPR back for our cash lineup.

Wide Receiver

Davante Adams, GB v. TB, ($6,500)

Given Adams' cost, he is an absolute bargain on the slate. Since Aaron Rodgers went down, Adams' quickly emerged as Hundley's go-to target in nearly every situation. Adams' saw 46 targets combined in his past four contest and whether he stretches the field, works in the red zone or provides a security blanket for Hundley, he will see the ball often.

We highlighted the matchup with Hundley, so naturally our attention is geared towards his top target. Adams is nearly $1,000 cheaper than many other top-seven wide receiver plays and that savings will allow us to receive a tremendous return on our investment in Adams this week.

Stefon Diggs

Diggs is one of the game's more talented receivers and if not for a multi-week absence, it could have been him as the attention of Case Keenum's eye rather than Adam Thielen. Instead, Diggs moved into a secondary role with around six targets per game and saw himself matched up against some of the game's best cornerbacks.

We can't change Diggs status as an outside wide receiver and being lined up against shutdown cornerbacks, but circumstances now put him in position for a blow up game. Atlanta Falcons cornerback Desmond Trufant is out this week due to a concussion, which forces Blidi Wreh-Wilson or C.J. Goodwin to cover Diggs, a matchup either of them will lose repeatedly. After several weeks without a top-10 performance, Diggs should post the numbers we grew used to this time around.

Mike Evans, TB @ GB, ($7,100)

The Green Bay Packers will be without cornerback Kevin King, their best cover corner, on Sunday. As a result, Evans' matchup against a defense that is the third-worst in the NFL against No.1 wide receivers, according to Football Outsiders DVOA. To make things even better, Jameis Winston also makes his return this week. 

After four games last season with 100-plus receiving yards, Evans sits at zero games over 100 receiving yards through 11 games. Put Evans in your lineups because that streak is ending this week in a game that should be a shootout with bad defenses unable to stop wide receivers.

DeAndre Hopkins, HOU @ TEN, ($7,300)

Everyone knows Tom Savage is a turnover machine who is costing the Texans numerous opportunities to stay in games and pushing them down in the standings. All of that is true, but he consistently targets Hopkins consistently and just putting the ball within range of Hopkins gives him all the opportunity he needs.

While the Titans defense is just 16th in the NFL in terms of Football Outsiders DVOA, a matchup against one of the game's best receivers is not the type of matchup they can handle. Hopkins will see 10-plus targets in this game and his big play ability, put him in prime position to post elite fantasy numbers this week.

Tight End

Hunter Henry, LAC v. CLE, ($4,700)

New York is the infamous defense for its struggles versus tight ends, but Cleveland belongs in the same discussion. The Browns' defense leads the NFL in receptions allowed to tight ends (69), the seventh-most receiving yards (649) and the second-most touchdowns (nine). Henry is a red-zone threat with the size, athleticism and hands to take catches over the middle and pick up 20-plus yard plays.

A reachable ceiling of 65-plus yards and a touchdown is clearly identifiable in this matchup given the defense and Henry's physical talents. While there is some risk is a top-five play on the week and the price is grand theft. He should see at least a 20 percent share of DFS lineups this week.

Defense/Special Teams:

New York Jets v. KC Chiefs, ($2,500)

Fantasy Alerts

 Dec 3rd, 2017
Peyton Barber (RB)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
 Dec 3rd, 2017
Ameer Abdullah (RB)
Detroit Lions
 Nov 26th, 2017
Rishard Matthews (WR)
Tennessee Titans
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