1. Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers
Getting Kelvin Benjamin back is going to be absolutely huge. Some seem to forget that the standout rookie in 2014 missed all of last season with a torn ACL. Despite this, Newton still finished as the top fantasy quarterback by nearly three points per game. Think about that one for a second. In a recent podcast episode of Fantasy Fugazi, this one scribe noted that Newton is the only quarterback he'd take in the first four rounds. That's how much ahead of the rest of the pack the reigning NFL MVP is right now.
2. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers
Rodgers put up his worst statistical campaign in years last season. His passing yards, completion percentage, touchdowns and quarterback rating all decreased from each of the past four seasons. As with Newton, Rodgers was impacted a great deal by an ACL injury his favorite receiver suffered. Jordy Nelson was lost for the year during the preseason slate, forcing Randall Cobb into a questionable role as the team's No. 1 wide receiver. With Nelson back, Rodgers should improve off last year's performance. Interestingly enough, Rodgers still found a way to finish as a top-seven fantasy quarterback last season.
3. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints
Brees over Russell Wilson? Have we completely lost our minds? Well, there's something to be said about consistency in fantasy football — something that Brees has provided throughout his career. The future Hall of Famer has tallied 4,800-plus passing yards and 30-plus scores in each of the past five seasons. Last year alone, Brees put up a league-best 4,870 passing yards with 32 scores. This enabled him to finish as the sixth-best fantasy quarterback. Look for much of the same in 2016.
4. Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks
With Marshawn Lynch now fully into retirement, the Seahawks are now Wilson's team. This bodes extremely well for Wilson's ability to continue where he left off last year, finishing as the third-best fantasy quarterback.
Russell Wilson 2016 Splits | Situation | Yards | TD | INT | Fantasy Points (Avg) |
| With Lynch | 1,618 | 7 | 6 | 17.1 |
| Without Lynch | 2,406 | 27 | 2 | 24.9 |
Notice a trend here? Seattle didn't ask Wilson to do a whole bunch early in his career. But once the team was forced to demand he perform as the face of the offense, the quarterback picked it up big time. The only reason we have Brees ahead of Wilson is sample size. The Saints quarterback has proven his fantasy worth over a much longer span of time. That counts for something in re-draft leagues.
5. Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals
Palmer finished last season as the fifth-best fantasy quarterback, tallying career highs in passing yards (4,671) and passing touchdowns (35). He also tied Cam Newton as the most-consistent fantasy quarterback.
There's really no reason for this to change in 2016. Not only does Palmer have Larry Fitzgerald, John Brown and Michael Floyd coming back, he's going to be working with young stud running back David Johnson for the entire season. With an ADP that has him as the seventh quarterback off the board, Palmer should be considered one of the better top-end values here.
6. Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars
Finishing as the fourth-best quarterback last season, Bortles numbers were a bit misleading. Forced to throw the ball a lot due to a poor defense, he had ample opportunities to put up fantasy points. More than that, Bortles finished significantly lower in consistency (ninth) than he did in overall fantasy output. That's a bit concerning. That's also why we dropped him down a spot or two in our rankings. Still, there's a ton to like with Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns catching passes from the young signal caller. QB1 production is a near certainty here.
7. Eli Manning, New York Giants
One of the most under-valued quarterbacks heading into the season, Manning's current ADP has him as an eighth-round pick. If that's the case in your particular draft, make sure you take the bait. Here's a guy that threw for over 4,400 yards with 35 scores a season ago, ranking him 10th among fantasy quarterbacks. Equally as important, Manning is entering his first season with Ben McAdoo as the team's head coach. The veteran has progressed leaps and bounds in his offense over the past two seasons. Look for another stellar fantasy performance here.
8. Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers
Suspensions to Martavis Bryant and Le'Veon Bell surely hurt here. With Bryant, that's the team's No. 2 leading receiver a season ago lost for the entire 2016 campaign. While this will surely lead to even more targets for Antonio Brown, it should have a negative impact on Big Ben's overall fantasy relevance. Here's a guy that averaged 328 passing yards last season but failed to tally more than 21 touchdowns in 12 starts. With Bryant lost for the season and a dynamic running back duo (when Bell returns), this promises to continue in 2016.
Still, it's hard to deny the large amount of passing yards Big Ben is capable of putting up. With a few more touchdowns, he will likely crack the top 10. Though, Roethlisberger's ADP as the fifth quarterback off the board is a bit absurd right now.
9. Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts
We have to be expecting a rebound season from Luck in 2016, right? Here's a guy that finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback in each of his first three NFL seasons. An injury plagued 2015 campaign doesn't mitigate the fact that Luck is capable of putting up some huge stats. Remember, here's a dude that finished first overall in fantasy consistency back in 2014. You don't lose that capability based off a minimal sample size that was marred by injuries.
10. Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders
We absolutely love Carr heading into the 2016 season. His ADP as the 13th quarterback off the board is ridiculously low based off what the young signal caller did last season and his upside heading into this year. Carr finished last season as the 14th-best fantasy quarterback, tallying nearly 4,000 yards with 32 scores. He helped rookie Amari Cooper put up 1,000 yards and connected with Michael Crabtree on 85 receptions throughout the year.
This was Carr's sophomore season in the NFL. If you're talking top-five upside from a quarterback that's being valued as a mid-round pick, don't look any further than this youngster.
11. Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys
Consistency, consistency and more consistence. Romo has finished as a QB1 option in each of the past seven seasons he's remained relatively healthy. During that very same span, the underrated quarterback has finished in the top seven four times. Simply put, when Romo is on the field, he performs at a high level from a fantasy standpoint. Dropped down a notch due to his injury-riddled 2015 campaign, Romo still represents tremendous value here. After all, he's currently being valued as a ninth-round pick based on ADP.
12. Tom Brady, New England Patriots
Losing a quarter of the season to suspension surely does hurt here. From a pure mathematical standpoint, Brady would have to average 26 percent more fantasy points per game than his counterparts to finish ahead of them when all is said and done. Though, Brady's ADP is surely taking this into account. He's currently being valued as the ninth quarterback off the board after finishing last season second in fantasy points and third in consistency among quarterbacks. After finishing as a QB1 option in 12 of his past 13 seasons, tallying six top-five finishes in the process, there's no reason to discount Brady in 2016.
13. Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers
Rivers led the NFL in completions and attempts last season. That's most definitely not what the Chargers want to see in 2016. And despite his high-volume of pass attempts, Rivers still finished the 2015 season as a bottom-rung QB1 option. With more balance on offense this upcoming season, it's hard to value Rivers as anything more than a top-end QB2 in 12-team leagues.
14. Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills
Despite missing two games to injury last season, Taylor still finished as a top end QB2 in his first year as a starter in the NFL. Adding 568 rushing yards and four scores on the ground surely did help here. In fact, it enabled him to finish seventh among quarterbacks in consistency. With a plethora of weapons to rely on and a year of starting experience under his belt, we like that Taylor offers here. That's only magnified by the fact that he's currently being valued as a 12th-round pick.
15. Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans
Outside of injuries, the biggest takeaway from Mariota's rookie season was his inability to do much on the ground. The former Heisman winner raked up just 252 rushing yards. With DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry expected to perform at high levels in the backfield, the expectation here is that defenses won't be able to hone in on Mariota's rushing ability as much in 2016. If so, those numbers should increase.
From a passing perspective, there's a ton of upside here. Mariota averaged 235 passing yards and nearly two touchdowns per game last season. Minimal increases here would make him a potential bottom-end QB1 option.