There is a tendencey for fantasy owners to go with the hot hand. You know the kind that just recently put up a decent outing and seems to get a great deal of play. Don't do it.
No, I am not indicating that you are going to sit a Ray Rice over Bryce Brown. Obviously that would qualify you for the rubber room. There have been tremendous amount of injury at the running back position this season. LeSean McCoy, who I had as the No. 1 overall fantasy player at the start of the season, is most likely done being a fantasy producer for the remainder of the season.
This will bump up your RB2 option to your primary running back during the postseason. But this doesn't mean that you should panic and go with an unknown over someone that has qualified in the past as a solid producer.
With that in mind, let me give you a couple friendly notes of advice.
Rookies Can be a Boon
It's the same old mentality that believes a freshman shouldn't win the Heisman Trophy. You are not supposed to rely on rookie to win in fantasy football; somewhat of an unwritten rule. Well, you can throw those old rules out the window in 2012 and spill a boiling pot of monkey poop on it.
Robert Griffin III, Andrew Luck, Doug Martin, and Trent Richardson are must starts from here on out for your fantasy team, unless of course you were able to draft one of the three elite fantasy quarterbacks and still find RGIII or Luck in the later rounds. If so, you have a pretty big "problem" ahead of yourself later this week when you set your playoff lineup. On that note, we will have a fantasy piece attempting to help our readers with that later in the week.
To a lesser extent, Bryce Brown and T.Y. Hilton might as well be part of the "list" indicated above. Both are going to play huge roles for their teams moving forward, so don't make the mistake to "sit the rookie." when all is on the line.
Let me ask you this:
Would you rather go with a marginal veteran quarterback such as Philip Rivers over Luck? While experience might count for something, the latter has proven himself to be a more consistent fantasy performer throughout the initial 13 weeks of the season. Same goes for either Martin or Richardson over a mid-tier RB1 option such as Jamaal Charles and ##Ahmad Bradshaw. Of course this is all semantics considering that most standard leagues allow you to set a lineup with two running backs and a FLEX position.
Either way, the moral of the story is that you don't sit a player just because he lacks experience. After all, he is one of the primary reasons you have made it to the one-and-done second season.
On that note.......
Don't Hit the Panic Button
There is a reason why you made it this far. Trust your gut and instincts. Don't make a last-minute change to your lineup because an "expert" indicated that someone is set to have a good day this week. If you went with as standard lineup of 12 players and have gotten this far, there is a reason for that.
While Bryce Brown will be a solid RB2 or FLEX performer this week, don't expect RB1 contributions from him. Utilize the rookie as a secondary point-getter; nothing more. The same goes for a vastly improved BenJarvus Green-Ellis. If you drafted a defense to be in your lineup for 12 of the first 13 weeks (bye not included) don't just drop them because they're going up against a New England Patriots or New Orleans Saints offense.
Stick with the Veteran Wide Receivers
While young quarterbacks and running backs have had a tremendous amount of success thus far this season, the same cannot really be said for the wide receiver position. The likes of Julio Jones and A.J. Green, who I have on two of my fantasy rosters, break this mold. Outside of that, the top fantasy performers from this season are technically veterans.
Don't fall under the trap that a Randall Cobb is going to have a better game than Roddy White because he has a better fantasy matchup. White has provided fantasy production for a good six seasons now, while Cobb has had four stellar fantasy performances THIS season.
The same goes for someone like Miles Austin further down on the totem pole. Does it make much sense to go with a Denarius Moore because he has had a few standout performances recently? Keep in mind that you most likely have a solid WR1 option that you can count on a great deal. Just go with the more consistent (when healthy) performer.