Choosing a quarterback for Fantasy Football is about the toughest position to draft, in my opinion. Do you take a name brand guy like Peyton Manning in the second round, or do you wait until round nine or ten to let someone like Ben Roethlisberger land in your hands?
Evaluating whether you should draft a rookie quarterback is even more of a gamble. The safest way to try out a rookie quarterback is to draft one as your backup with the hope that you’ll end up a fantasy surprise later in the season, making your investment in your draft pick worthwhile.
Two popular rookie quarterbacks, who were selected in the first round of the NFL Draft, which wrapped up just a couple of weeks ago are Cleveland Browns’ quarterback, Johnny Manziel, and quarterback, Teddy Bridgewater of the Minnesota Vikings.
Let’s take a look at some of the stats each one put up in college and the current quarterback and player situation with their new NFL teams to determine whether Manziel or Bridgewater makes the superior draft choice.
In reviewing Manziel, the 22nd overall pick in the NFL Draft, his 2013 and total two-year numbers from Texas A&M were quite remarkable.
Johnny Manziel | 2013 Yards | 2013 TD | 2013 Int | Total Yards | Total TD | Total Int |
| 4,114 | 37 | 13 | 7,820 | 63 | 22 |
Now, 37 touchdowns and over 4,000 yards in 13 games would have made Manziel the third highest fantasy ranked quarterback if he was competing with last year’s NFL quarterbacks.
Right now as it stands, however, the Cleveland Browns seem to be convinced that Manziel will be benching it this season as the team leans on Brian Hoyer, who has only played in 18 total games over his five-year career with the NFL. Yes, that has everyone shaking their heads.
Should the Browns decide to test Manziel’s feet at some time during the season and get him into the action, Manziel’s mobility will play a major factor in their offense. Just to note, Manziel had an incredible 2,169 rush yards and 30 rushing touchdowns during his past two years at Texas A&M. Those are amazing numbers, you have to admit.
If Manziel takes the driver’s seat for the Browns, an impacting factor on his future fantasy value is if star wide receiver, Josh Gordon plays for the season, as he is facing the possibility of a season-long suspension for violating the NFL substance abuse policy. Without Gordon, tight end, Jordan Cameron would likely be Manziel’s go-to guy along with some sketchy veteran receivers in Earl Bennett, Nate Burleson and the always hamstring-injured Miles Austin.
At this time, Manziel should be drafted only as a backup quarterback option to your fantasy team. Just don’t spend too high of a draft pick unless his role suddenly changes to starting quarterback closer to the start of the NFL season.
As for Bridgewater, whom the Minnesota Vikings obtained in the first round of the NFL draft to boost their shaky quarterback crew, here are some of the stats for his 2013 season at Louisville and his overall numbers for his three college football years.
Teddy Bridgewater | 2013 Yards | 2013 TD | 2013 Int | Total Yards | Total TD | Total Int |
| 3,970 | 31 | 4 | 9,817 | 72 | 24 |
As for Bridgewater, it seems he has a more optimal chance at earning the starting quarterback role for the Vikings as he is already getting many of the first team reps in practice sessions. Matt Cassel and Christian Ponder are still in the picture, but neither of them are very huge threats in the quarterback department. And, when is the last time you drafted one for your fantasy team?
Bridgewater’s waiting army of receivers, should he start include Greg Jennings, Cordarrelle Patterson, who I think will be a fantasy star this season, and tight end, Kyle Rudolph. These three definitely shouldn’t do anything to hurt Bridgewater’s fantasy value in 2014.
Looking at both quarterbacks, compared to Manziel, Bridgewater’s interceptions are considerably lower in proportion to the passing yards. However, Manziel’s mobility far surpasses that of Bridgewater who only tallied up 170 rushing yards and six rush touchdowns to Manziel’s 30 rush touchdowns and over 2,000 rush yards in college. Mobility is an asset, but it makes for more of an injury-risk as we all know.
Bridgewater at 6’-3”, does have the height advantage over nearly six-foot tall Manziel. But guys like Drew Brees and Russell Wilson prove that height isn’t everything.
In evaluating both of these rookie quarterbacks, I would draft Manziel over Bridgewater at this point in time, but as a backup most definitely. There is just too much hype and potential in Manziel to leave him wasting away on a bench for very long, or if Hoyer becomes injured, why wouldn't the team try out Manziel? Bridgewater should be a viable backup fantasy option after he develops more with his team, deeming him worth a draft in deeper leagues if you’re willing to take a bit more risk.
Continue to monitor both Manziel and Bridgewater during practices and preseason games as their exact place on their team’s depth chart should be determined as the summer preseason NFL activities and games get underway. Who knows, maybe we’ll have the next Andrew Luck in the making.
All college and NFL statistics are provided by profootballreference.com and fantasy football statistics come from eDraft.com.