Although we’re not even into training camp yet, fantasy football seems to be in full swing. Well, for me anyways. News and performances will spring from what is the NFL preseason and training camp. Between now, Labor Day weekend and even beyond, rankings and sleepers will be tinkered with constantly and even frantically to prepare for my upcoming fantasy football drafts and to prepare you for yours.
Despite all of that changing and tinkering, we already have a decent look at some of the best sleepers or value picks for 2013. On Wednesday, you saw Vincent Frank dish out his top-five running back values, so I’m here to serve you my favorite wide receivers who are currently being undervalued in mock drafts. I know you’re looking for those value picks. And we’re here to dig them up.
All average draft position stats have been stripped from Fantasy Football Calculator.
5. Denarius Moore, Oakland Raiders
ADP: 10.08 2012 Statistics: 51 receptions, 741 receiving yards, 7 touchdowns
Moore is a deep threat, and in no way should he be able to be trusted as a starter. In 2012, he proved that to be a fact, as he never managed more than five receptions in a game and only passed the 100-yard receiving game mark once. In fact, in three games he had just one reception. However, 2013 could bring a bit of a role change.
According to The Contra Costa Times, head coach Dennis Allen said that Moore will be the No. 1 receiver. Moore certainly should be locked into a solid, every-down role as the top receiver. But that doesn’t mean he won’t continue to be the same deep threat that we know and love. Raiders should pass down field a lot with a team that should be trailing often, but if Flynn struggles, it’s wouldn’t be shocking to see Moore develop the rest of his game. This is an interesting camp battle to watch to see who falls into place behind Moore.
4. Josh Gordon, Cleveland Browns
ADP: 8.10 2012 Statistics: 50 receptions, 805 receiving yards, 5 touchdowns
Sure, Gordon is suspended for the first two games of the 2013 season. I don’t care one bit. With an eighth-round (almost ninth-round) ADP, you weren’t going to be playing Gordon until bye weeks approached anyways. While his act off the field isn’t exactly something to shed light in this particular article, his play on the field in 2012 was stellar, which is why I believe he can be even better in 2013.
ESPN Cleveland believes that Gordon, a supplemental second-round pick in 2012, has “the most physical ability of any player” on the Browns’ roster. With a new and likely more effective regime in Cleveland after last year’s lackluster performance, the ceiling is high. Gordon on the scheme of the new coaching staff: “Defenses will e shocked to say the least with how much we’re running downfield.” The offense is enthralled with the new scheme. The only reason Gordon isn’t a top 20 fantasy receiver is if he can’t stay on the field – for injury or off-field issues.
3. Cecil Shorts, Jacksonville Jaguars
ADP: 7.11 2012 Statistics: 55 receptions, 979 yards, 7 touchdowns
Boy, have I been pleasantly surprised by Shorts’ ADP value. Shorts was stellar in 2012 on tape, a true surprise to everyone. He played faster, crisper and more effectively than Justin Blackmon played opposite of him. In terms of making plays after the catch, Shorts is a top five wide receiver.
It’s also been reported that Shorts is working at the Larry Fitzgerald offseason camp after organized team activities were complete. Among the other names to participate in the camp: Brandon Marshall, A.J. Green, Dwayne Bowe, Greg Jennings, and Eric Decker, among many others. Many receivers see breakout seasons after spending time with Fitzgerald in the summer, and the potential is certainly there for Shorts.
I feel comfortable with Shorts as my WR2, but prefer him as my WR3 who I can play in my flex spot with upside. If he gets even halfway-solid quarterback play, he’s going to be a star.
2. Lance Moore, New Orleans Saints
ADP: 9.07 2012 Statistics: 65 receptions, 1,041 receiving yards, 6 touchdowns
Everyone seems to forget about Moore, year and year again. As you can see above, Moore was a member of the 1,000-yard club, the first time he’s accomplished the feat in his career. Moore is being drafted as the 41st wide receiver in mock drafts as of now. However, he was the 19th scoring wide receiver in standard leagues last season. Why the drop off from last season to this year's ADP?
Don’t ask me. While Moore doens't provide must upside from his 2012 season, he's a solid WR3 with week-to-week upside in the explosive Saints offense. Drew Brees and the entire offense is returning. Sean Payton is back from his suspension. Moore can and should reproduce his numbers from the 2012 season in 2013.
1. Danario Alexander, San Diego Chargers
ADP: 7.10 2012 Statistics: 37 receptions, 658 receiving yards, 7 touchdowns
I was actually somewhat surprised to see that Alexander was going this high in mocks, as he flew under the radar for most of last season. There’s a few reasons I like Alexander. First of all, he’s playing on a tender – otherwise known as a one-year contract -- and he’s playing for cheap. If you extrapolate Alexander’s numbers from 2012 into 16 games, you will end up with about 60 receptions, 1,053 yards, and 11 touchdowns.
If Alexander’s knees can hold up – a big if with five total knee surgeries – he will be one of the best steals in this draft, going in the late seventh. Alexander should remain in the Chargers’ No. 1 WR job all season long, and Rivers’ top target, as he was when healthy last season. If you can get him as your third wide receiver do it. Unlike, Shorts, I’d want serious depth if Alexander is my WR2. There’s still some concern with those knees.