Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars; Fantasy Outlook

By Vincent Frank on Thursday, November 8th 2012
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars; Fantasy Outlook

The Indianapolis Colts (5-3) travel to Florida to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-7) in what could be interpreted to be a mismatch. Indianapolis is coming off an impressive victory of the Miami Dolphins that saw Andrew Luck break the single-game rookie record for passing yards. 

Meanwhile, Jacksonville has to be considered the worst team in the NFL through the first nine weeks of the season. It has lost its four home games by a combined 92 points, showing that this team just isn't ready to compete on a consistent basis. While the outcome of this game might already be determined to the majority of football fans, there is a major fantasy impact when Indianapolis and Jacksonville take to the gridiron tonight on NFL Network. 

Lets take a look. 


Andrew Luck, Quarterback, Indianapolis Colts

Following a record-breaking performance last week against the Miami Dolphins, Luck is now considered a QB1 option in standard leagues. He is ranked seventh overall in fantasy points among quarterbacks this season, averaging 18.3 per game. Moreover, Luck is averaging over 20 fantasy points in his last three games. 

Indianapolis now goes up against a Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense that ranks 25th in the NFL. Opposing quarterbacks are averaging over 255 yards per outing against Jacksonville this season. Expect Luck to put up top tier fantasy numbers tonight. 

Blaine Gabbert, Quarterback, Jacksonville Jaguars

Unless you are in an incredibly bind, Gabbert should even be considered here. Not only are the Jaguars facing a Colts' defense that ranks 11th against the pass, their pass offense is dead last in the NFL. Just think about that for a second. Meanwhile, Gabbert has averaged just 10 fantasy points in his last four starts. 

Vick Ballard, Running Back, Indianapolis Colts

This rookie running back has really picked it up in recent weeks. After averaging just 1.8 fantasy points in the Colts first five games, Ballard has put up an average over 11 fantasy points over the course of the last three weeks. It is also important to note that Jacksonville ranks 27th against the run. One of the major issues I see with Ballard as anything more than a FLEX option is the fact that he will be sharing carries with the guy below him in this article. 

Donald Brown, Running Back, Indianapolis Colts

Brown really isn't a viable fantasy option tonight. He is listed as questionable and will be a game time deceision. Look elsewhere here. If you are in an incredible bind due to the fact that Trent Richardson and Alfred Morris have byes, maybe go FLEX option with Brown. Just make sure you are on top of the injury report as the day progresses. 

Rashad Jennings, Running Back, Jacksonville Jaguars

Maurice Jones-Drew has been ruled out of tonight's game. This means that Jennings should see a minimum of 15 attempts against a Colts' defense that ranks 25th in that category. I am really liking Jennings here. He has put up over 10 fantasy points in the last three games, two of them coming as the backup to Jones-Drew. I wouldn't be surprised to see Jennings put up 100 total yards and a score. Definitely a solid RB2 option this week. 

Reggie Wayne, Wide Receiver, Indianapolis Colts

Start, start, start. That is going to be a continuing theme for this future Hall of Fame receiver for the remainder of the season. Wayne is second in the NFL in receptions and first in receiving yards. This despite the fact that Indianapolis has played eight games and some of the other top receivers have yet to have a bye. 

T.Y. Hilton, Wide Receiver, Indianapolis Colts

It isn't surprising to the trained eye that this rookie is on pace for about 700 receiving yards as a rookie. He has been Andrew Luck's favorite target down the field and can give you some big plays for your fantasy football team. While Hilton will struggle in PPR leagues, he is solid in standard formats. Expect Luck to attempt to exploit a weak Jaguars' secondary down the field tonight. I wouldn't be surprised to see Hilton haul in a long touchdown here. 

Donnie Avery, Wide Receiver, Indianapolis Colts

Surprisingly, Avery has been a solid WR2 option this season after two years of irrelevence. He has put up consistent numbers, accumulating at least 40 yards in five of the Colts first eight games. Avery could act as a solid bye week replacement at the FLEX position against Jacksonville. 

Cecil Shorts III, Wide Receiver, Jacksonville Jaguars

Don't look now, but Shorts ranked 36th among fantasy wide receivers in points this season. The former standout at Mt. Union star is currently on pace for over 900 yards and six touchdowns this season. He has been Blaine Gabbert's most consistent receiving option thus far. With that in mind, I have a hard to believing in any Jaguars' receiever as a viable fantasy option. If you have to start anyone in this offense outside of Jennings, go with Shorts. 

Justin Blackmon, Wide Receiver, Jacksonville Jaguars

Just no. There is no way that Blackmon should be relied on this week. He is on pace for less than 500 yards as a rookie. That being said, the Oklahoma State product is definitely someone to keep an eye on tonight as it relates to future productivity. He is coming off his best performance of the season last week against the Detroit Lions. Another solid game against Indianapolis tonight and Blackmon could become an under-the-radar FLEX option. 

Dwayne Allen, Tight End, Indianapolis Colts

I was spot on in my projections for Allen last week. He recorded a career-high 75 yards on 10 targets against the Miami Dolphins last week. Even with Coby Fleener getting more comfortable in the Colts' offense, Allen has to be considered a legit TE1 option. 

Coby Fleener, Tight End, Indianapolis Colts

Speaking of the devil. I wrongly projected Fleener to have a standout fantasy performance as a rookie. The 2012 second-round pick  has put up only 22 fantasy points this season. Moreover, he hasn't put up more than 42 yards in any game since a Week 1 loss to the Chicago Bears. 

Marcedes Lewis, Tight End, Jacksonville Jaguars

As enigmatic of a fantasy tight end as you will get, Lewis continues to tease us with a tremendous amount of talent. Though, his production just hasn't lived up to that talent thus far. Lewis is on pace for less than 400 receiving yards and hasn't recorded a double-digit scoring outing in 2012. Simply put, not a solid fantasy option this week or any week. 

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