This shouldn't come as too much of a surpise. Mere days after new Kansas City Chiefs' general manager John Dorsey went public about his opinion that there might not be a first-round quarterback prospect in the 2013 NFL Draft, head coach Andy Reid left the door open for a possible trade down from the No. 1 slot.
The following is a quote from Reid during a press conference at the combine in Indianapolis.....
"Listen, yeah, we're going to evaluate everything....We're just not going to give it away. So we'd have to see what people throw our way. It's a pretty valuable pick, I'd say."
Without a consensus top pick in the draft, it makes sense for Kansas City to go out there and get a feel for the market. It is going to have to find upgrades on both sides of the ball, especially at quarterback, in order to rebound from a disappointing 3-13 season in '12. With that in mind, there are no quarterbacks in this draft worthy of the top pick. In fact, eDraft's Top 200 Big Board shows Geno Smith, the top quarterback prospect, ranked No. 10 overall.
Kansas City could trade down three or four spots and still grab the West Virginia product while picking up an extra pick or two. This isn't to indicate that Reid and company will go in that direction. Various reports show that they are interested in offensive tackle Luke Joeckel, among others, with the top pick.
What would the trade value be for the first pick?
This is a question that I am pretty sure Kansas City will get an answer to relatively quickly. After all, the St. Louis Rams gave up the second pick in the '12 draft to the Washington Redskins on March, 12 of last year. The Chiefs could easily gather the necessary information and make a trade within the next month or so.
The trade market, however, isn't going to be as friendly as what we saw this time last season. While the 2013 draft does represent one of the deepest classes at numerous positions, last year gave us two No. 1 pick-type of franchise quarterbacks in the form of Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III. I don't care how strong the defensive line and offensive tackle positions are in '13, they don't compare to getting a truly elite franchise quarterback.
In short, Kansas City will find somewhat of a watered-down market once it starts to engage in conversations.
One thing is for sure: Kansas City is definitey making the right decision by entertaining offers for this pick. If it is targeting one of the top two offensive tackle prospects, Joeckel or Eric Fisher, it is reasonable to expect one will be available a couple picks lower than No. 1. If it is targeting some of the top defensive tackle prospects, it will have ample options at five or six.
Now, who would be interested in moving up? I plan on taking a look at that below.
Detroit Lions
This all depends on how general manager Martin Mayhew views the draft. Detroit is definitely in need for a franchise offensive tackle in front of Matthew Stafford. While Eric Fisher will likely be available at five, the Lions could be one of many franchises that think Joeckel is a much better pro prospect. If so, they may be willing to trade a second rounder and some change in order to move up to one.
Detroit does need more than an offensive tackle at this point. Its defense just isn't up to par with the top teams in the NFC. In fact, it could use help at defensive line, linebacker, cornerback and safety. This doesn't even take into account that the Lions are probably going to be in the market for a wide recever, imagine that.
Oakland Raiders
General manager Reggie McKenzie has gone on the record saying that Oakland will not trade draft picks for veterans moving forward. This is probably a good idea considering how bad the Raiders have been burned in the past. By no means does this indicate that Oakland will not look to trade up for a franchise-type quarterback. If it starts to get the feeling that Geno Smith, which it likes a lot, will not be available at three, Oakland could trade a pick or two to move up a couple slots.
Again, there is something that might be holding the Raiders back from making this decision. They don't possess as second-round pick in April due to the Carson Palmer trade. Any conversation with the Chiefs for that top pick would start with a second rounder, so this likely leaves Oakland out of the equation. In addition, a lot would have to happen in order for Smith not to be available at three in the first place. As it is, Oakland may not even be looking at adding a quarterback that early.
Philadelphia Eagles
Probably the most likely scenario. Most mock drafts have the Eagles going with Luke Joeckel at four. This, of course, as long as the Texas A&M product is available there. If new head coach Chip Kelly starts to question whether Jacksonville or Oakland will select the offensive tackle, he could ask Howie Roseman to move up in the draft. Of course, the Eagles have a valuable trade chip in the form of Nick Foles, who they are not "shopping" right now.
As it is, Philadelphia is one of the few teams in the top five that doesn't have glaring holes across the board. It could give up a second rounder and some change in order to move up to get its guy.
Either way you look at it, Kansas City is shopping the first pick. While they will not get top of the line value, it definitely makes sense for the Chiefs to remain open to all scenarios. By trading out of the first pick and acquiring a couple more selections, the Chiefs could also make a play for Alex Smith or Matt Flynn while still being able to possess picks in each of the first two rounds.
That's the way you build a team, not by standing pat at No. 1 and reaching for a quarterback such as Geno Smith.