NFL Playoffs: Statistical Predictions for Russell Wilson and Robert Griffin III

By Vincent Frank on Sunday, January 6th 2013
NFL Playoffs: Statistical Predictions for Russell Wilson and Robert Griffin III

Here we are. The final NFL Wildcard playoff game between two up-and-coming teams. The Seattle Seahawks travel away from the Pacific Northwest to the capital in order to take on the NFC East Champion' Washington Redskins. This should be one hell of a game between the two hottest teams in the league. 

It is also the first matchup between two rookie quarterbacks in playoff history. Robert Griffin III and Russell Wilson are not your ordinary rookie quarterbacks. They have combined for 7,400 yards (1,304 rushing) and 57 touchdowns with only 15 interceptions. 

Let's take a look at where each stands when it comes to statistics entering today's game. 


Russell Wilson, Quarterback, Seattle Seahawks 

Wilson finished the regular season with a 100.0 quarterback rating, the second-best for rookie quarterback in NFL history. He scored three times more touchdowns  (30) than he had interceptions (10). Needless to say, it was one of the better regular season performances for a rookie. 

Wilson's splits suggest that he might struggle a bit today. He has thrown just nine touchdowns compared to eight interceptions with a 83.1 quarterback rating away from CenturyLink. Compare that to a 17/2 and 123.6 line at CenturyLink. Though he does have seven touchdowns and one interceptions (107.2 rating) in his last four road starts. In total, Wilson has thrown seven touchdowns compared to four interceptions in the road in open-air stadiums. 

Regular Season Average: 16/25, 195 yards, 1.6 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions

Regular Season Average (Road): 18/29, 202 yards, 1.1 touchdowns and 1.0 interceptions. 

Projected Stats: 19/30, 250 total yards, two total touchdowns and one interception. 


Robert Griffin III, Quarterback, Washington Redskins

That RGIII is averaging just one interception per 74 passes is ridiculous for any quarterback in the NFL. For a rookie to do that is beyond anything we have seen in the history of the league. Needless to say, his quarterback rating of 102.4 is the best for a rookie signal caller in the history of the NFL. 

This is even more magnified at home. 

RGIII threw just one interceptions at FedEx Field all season long (190 pass attempts). He is also averaging over 65 rushing yards per outing at home. He has, however, struggled in his last two games since returning from a knee injury. The former Heisman Trophy Award Winner has tallied just 365 yards and three scores during that span. 

His success today will depend on how his knee holds up. While RGIII can be successful as a pocket quarterback, he brings a new dimension to the table when running the ball. 

Regular Season Average: 17/26, 268 total yards, 1.8 touchdowns, 0.3 interceptions. 

Regular Season Average (Home): 15/24, 230 total yards, 1.5 touchdowns and 0.1 interceptions. 

Projected Stats: 20/31, 260 total yards, two total touchdowns and zero interceptions. 



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